Rolling Forecasts: A Better Way to Plan for Your Nonprofit in Uncertain Times
Jun 12, 2025Stuck with a budget that can’t keep up? Let’s talk about how to help your nonprofit pivot faster, plan smarter, and stay mission-focused all year long.
For many nonprofits, budgeting is a once-a-year event. You set the plan, hope for the best, and revisit it 12 months later—often only to find that reality looked nothing like what you projected.
But what if your budget could evolve with your organization?
Enter the rolling forecast: a flexible, forward-looking approach to financial planning that helps nonprofits stay nimble, informed, and in control—even when things change (and they always do).
What Is a Rolling Forecast?
A rolling forecast is a financial planning tool that updates throughout the year. Instead of locking your organization into a fixed 12-month plan, it allows you to adjust projections regularly—typically monthly or quarterly—based on what’s actually happening.
Think of it like a GPS that reroutes when there’s traffic or a road closure, rather than a paper map that assumes the route will always stay the same.
Why Traditional Budgets Fall Short
Let’s be honest—nonprofits face a ton of uncertainty:
- Changes in revenue sources
- Unexpected fundraising outcomes
- Shifting program priorities
- Rising costs
- Staffing changes
A static annual budget simply doesn’t offer the flexibility to respond to these shifts. When assumptions change, you need a tool that helps you respond in real time—not 10 months too late.
The Benefits of Rolling Forecasts for Nonprofits
Here’s how rolling forecasts support smarter, more resilient financial management:
✅ 1. Stay Agile
Update projections based on actual performance. If a major fundraising event underperforms, you can adjust program spending in the next quarter—before things get off track.
✅ 2. Improve Accuracy
Regular updates mean your financial plan stays current, relevant, and realistic—not just based on outdated assumptions.
✅ 3. Enhance Decision-Making
With more timely data, leadership can make faster, better-informed decisions about staffing, investments, or strategic pivots.
✅ 4. Support Strategic Growth
Rolling forecasts help you plan for what’s ahead—not just account for what’s already happened. This makes it easier to model “what-if” scenarios and prepare for expansion or risk.
✅ 5. Increase Board & Funder Confidence
When you can explain not just where your finances stand, but where they’re going (and why), you build trust and transparency.
How to Implement a Rolling Forecast
You don’t need to overhaul your whole system to start. Here’s how to make it manageable:
1. Start with Key Line Items
Focus on your biggest revenue and expense categories—grants, donations, salaries, and program costs.
2. Update Monthly or Quarterly
Set a rhythm for reviewing actuals and revising projections with your leadership or finance team.
3. Use Technology to Automate the Process
Financial software or dashboards can make updating and sharing rolling forecasts simple and consistent.
4. Loop in a Fractional CFO (if you need help)
Not sure where to start or how to structure your forecast? A fractional CFO can help you build the right models, run scenario analyses, and integrate forecasting into your organizational rhythm.
Real-World Example
A mid-sized education nonprofit moved to a rolling forecast after a year of unpredictable program enrollment and inconsistent donations. The result?
- A 30% reduction in budget-to-actual variance
- Faster decision-making on staffing and curriculum offerings
- Increased board confidence in financial leadership
They didn’t just survive—they thrived, strategically and confidently!
Final Thought
The world changes fast. Your budget should too. By embracing rolling forecasts, your nonprofit can increase its resilience, stay ahead of uncertainty, and plan with confidence—not just hope.
If your organization could use help with this type of forecasting, I want to invite you to learn more about our Fractional CFO services. We help nonprofits go from surviving to thriving through proactive strategic planning based on 25+ years of nonprofit financial leadership. To learn more, click here.
Next week, in Part 3 of this budget series, we’ll break down program-based budgeting—and how to link every dollar to mission-driven outcomes. Subscribe to the blog or Youtube channel to get that notification.
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